Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 99504.791133 104858.212430 110205.929043 115945.252629 121926.873069 127973.636789 134544.639205
2025-09-21 90421.601744 98598.265119 106989.961964 116235.355278 126124.470829 136374.094292 147789.440294
2025-09-28 83867.276632 93963.800769 104549.098397 116452.339564 129442.292842 143165.446012 158736.606562
2025-10-05 79963.759464 91624.994937 104067.579106 118295.496428 134077.047911 151007.662894 170506.093657
2025-10-12 76622.729260 89543.127565 103542.605566 119784.940055 138055.204616 157915.365805 181078.930903
2025-10-19 73374.857152 87298.539583 102596.693349 120579.573133 141063.334946 163592.136984 190164.494994
2025-10-26 70154.647840 84872.901565 101254.575148 120745.236656 143203.983819 168170.860075 197920.616522
2025-11-02 67483.293278 82918.598248 100305.552747 121224.066371 145584.468515 172931.424300 205820.590840
2025-11-09 64794.827998 80804.604501 99045.729685 121224.869255 147312.343383 176868.204638 212723.371877
2025-11-16 63037.018711 79694.582944 98874.047439 122420.564237 150369.356364 182298.919185 221338.456800
2025-11-23 60712.104527 77802.948578 97686.647814 122331.178819 151845.286625 185838.669284 227719.910963
2025-11-30 59492.917289 77186.515636 97966.288644 123943.889674 155305.183874 191690.728758 236826.006623
2025-12-07 57999.075439 76196.740889 97773.457023 124982.484197 158096.582258 196797.791322 245133.807096
2025-12-14 56141.084152 74691.441393 96898.140793 125145.748587 159801.396100 200599.513361 251899.339533
2025-12-21 54417.330652 73290.011391 96093.337715 125343.930181 161508.688253 204380.824176 258637.141955
2025-12-28 53663.200500 73075.358898 96726.967418 127294.024696 165347.995740 210739.835503 268514.205161
2026-01-04 52783.382374 72662.107931 97081.608801 128873.814534 168720.559368 216538.279221 277739.166572
2026-01-11 51611.426639 71830.108476 96872.752900 129717.059018 171160.288384 221193.266310 285583.510939
2026-01-18 50196.828931 70636.708453 96164.306632 129892.843808 172739.183001 224776.765089 292115.372309
2026-01-25 49003.223667 69693.785929 95741.332906 130401.129878 174714.257764 228840.967250 299248.980072
2026-02-01 47645.737342 68492.733103 94948.511092 130401.978131 176021.796190 232062.089743 305338.046066
2026-02-08 46896.326450 68076.839568 95152.685323 131671.179013 178935.080245 237293.353907 313956.962934
2026-02-15 45608.828222 66899.797051 94328.702316 131576.302948 180080.533260 240294.691532 319785.304020